to 3.5 live births per woman.
Choices in family planning are
a private matter for individual
couples; nevertheless govern-
ments are involved in the suc-
cess of f<.mily planning pro··
grammes. A woman's control
over her own fertility has been
called "the' freedom from which
other freedoms flow". Bet ter
education and health services
increase heT ability to makE'
her own choices. In countries
where there is a marked hosti-
lity to modern contraceptives
on grounds of religion and
other prejudices, it is for the
United Nations to dispel doubts
and suspicion through persua-
sive methods.
-Edit., The Hindustan Times,
May 13, 1991
I DIA'S HOt
The 1991 Human Develop-
ment Report released by the
United Nations Development
Programme (UNDP), second in
the series, highlights a novel
approach to assessing a coun-
try's level of development.
Putting aside the traditional
GNP route, this report bases
its conclusions on figures cover-
ing e'xpenditure on human
priority sectors. These are
health, water, sanitation, daily
calorific intake, literacy and
primary and secondary school
enrolment.
Combined with
GNP per capita and real GDP
per capita,' these go to deter-
mlrle a nation's human develop-
ment index (HDI) .
India's HDI ranks 123rd
amongst the 160 countries under
scrutiny. And of the 127 deve-
loping countries India ranks
94th. In the first time human
freedom index, India ranked
42nd of the 88 countries sur'-
veyed, and fifth of all Asian
countries. Although this me-
thod is a more scientific mea-
sure of socio-economic progress,
the report reaches conclusions
that are not entirely applicable
globally. Its primary thesis is
the lack of political will and
ccmmi tmen t. and not financial
resources. is the real cause of
human neglect. In a simplistic
sense this 1S acceptable
enough. But when confronted
with conditions on the ground
this provides us wi th f;r fro~
the last word .
The report marks out defence
spending as the most important
area which negates the release
of funds for human develop-
ment. Regions of political tur-
moil encourage lobbies to be'
buil t around ever larger claims
on defence expenditure. There
are many issues that the UNDP
report covers which form the
crucial links in the chain of
human development. But in-
evitably its approach is rather
generalist and overlooks local
factors. To the degree that
this happens it falls short of
the purposes it could serve.
-Edit., Indian Express,
June 3, 1991
China Will Maintain Its Lead
The world population will
increase from the current 5.4
billions to 12 billions in the
year 2100 before levelling off,
according to new projections
made by the Washington
based Population Reference
Bureau.
The world population would
have r"eached the sixth billion
mark in 1998 and the seventh
in 2009. The Bureau also pre-
dicts the level of population
that would be reached by 20
populous countries of the
world. -India and China will
('ontinu€' to lead the rest as the
most populous nations. India's
popula tion, now 859 millions
will climb to 1158 millions in
2010 and to 1,365 millions-in
2025. China, maintaining iU
No.1 rank as the most populous
country, will register a rise
from its 1,051 millions in 1991,
Ms D. K. Thara Devi, Union
Minister of State for Health
and Family Welfare
to 1,4-20 millions in 2010 and
1,591 millions in 2025.
The USSR will be the world's
third most populous country. Its
current population of 292 mil-
lions will rise to 333 millions
f?25. in 2010 and to 363 millions in
The po~ul.ation ?f the
-'.S. now 253 m11hons w1ll rise.
fo 299 millions in 2010 and to
334 millions in 202b.
In the Indian subcontinent.
Pakistan's population will rise
from 117 millions to 196 mil-
lions in 2010 and to 281 millions
in 2025. Bangladesh which has
a population Gf 117 millions
will touch 176 millions in 2010
and 226 mill ions in 2025.
Pak Overtakes Bangladesh
:Pakistan has already ovel--
taken or will. overtake BaTlgla-
df'sh in ]Jopulation this year,
to become South Asia's most
populous nation after India.
Until 1990, Pakistan and
Bangladesh were neck and neck
in population but in J991, the
Pakistani population is pro-
jected by the Population Refer-
ence Bureau at 117,490 million
against Bangladesh's
116,601
[nillion. The gap will widen
from now on.