Nine-tenths of tne increase in
the population of the world that
is taking place today is occurr-
ing in the developing and under-
developed world.
By 2,225, South Asia will
double, Latin America will grow
to two and half times and
Africa three and half times of
what they wer,e in 1980.
In the next 40 years per capita
availability of water in many
countries will shrink to a quarter
of what it was in 1975.
If the South starts consuming
oil on the same per capita rate
as the North does it today, all
present reserves of oil may
vanish before the century ends.
Every year the world is losing
tropical forests at the rate of
11.3 million hectares - equal
to the size of East Germany;
at this rate, all forest may vanish
in 172 years.
In congested Hong Kong, the
pressure of population on land
is so great that even the dead
are being denied a bit of land
to rest in peace.
- Graves are dug there every six
years. The dead bodies are
taken out and then cremated
and reburied in smaller plots.
If this is not done, there would
be no space to bury more
bodies.
In neighbouring Shanghai in
China, foreigners deny them-
selves the pleasure of drinking
locally brewed beer because
they think water used for mak-
ing this beer is heavily polluted.
- Back home, in India, the compo-
sition of the population is chang-
ing.
- Largescale migration is taking
place from villages to cities -
five million a year.
- Twentyfive perc-entof India now
lives in cities as against 20
percent a few years back.
By 1991, the country will have
20 metropolises (towns having
over a million people); today
their number is 12.
Between 1951 and 1981, the
population of Calcutta went
up from 3.9 million to 9.1
million, Bombay from 2.9 to
8.2 million, Delhi from 1.4 to
5.7 million, Madras from 1.5
to 4.2 million, Bangalore from
0.7 to 2.9 million and Ahmeda-
bad from 0.8 to 2.5 million.
By the end of the century, the
population of these cities will
be: Calcutta 14.9 million,
Bombay 14.9 million, Delhi
13.4 million, Madras 7.4 million,
Bangalore 8.6 million, Ahmeda-
bad 5.2 million.
Bombay, Calcutta, Delhi aDd
Madras now have an estimated
third of their popUlation living
in slums.
From the Frying Pan
into the Fire 7
"With well over a third of our
continuously growing popula-
tion still below the poverty line,
with our agricultural resource
base mercilessly eroded by de-
forestation, soil erosion and
pollution, with availability of new
land for crops steadily diminish-
ing and existing land holdings
relentlessly fragemented, our
villages are no longer havens of
peace and relative prosperity,
and the young increasingly tend
to flee from them in order to
migrate to overcrowded cities
in search of a better life, instead
of which they find they have to
endure the degradation of slum'
life, brittle social relations and
frequent turmoil." -J. R. D. Tata
Half of Calcutta's population
does not have any toilet facili-
ties.
In Madras, people have learnt
to live without water supply
on alternate days.
Pressure of population on land
is increasing in villages.
In cities tensions are mounting.
Crimes are increasing.
Between 1961 and 1981, their
number went up from 20,000 to
35,000 in Bombay, 10,000 to
29,000 in Delhi, 4,000 to 17,000
in Bangalore, 5,000 to 15,000
in Madras, 3,000 to 10,000 in
Ahmedabad.
Was Julian Huxley very much
wrong when as Director-General
of UNESCO he said in 1948 -
"somehow or other popula-
tion must be balanced
against resources or civiiiza-
tion will perish war is a
less inevitable threat to
civilization than population
I. ncrease"
7.
Population problem
wors.e than corruption 7
How people in towns view it
Asurvey of 35 urban centres done
recently by the ORG on behalf of
the Times of India Group of
Publications suggests that more
than half the adults living in these
centres consider the population
boom to be a bigger problem than
corruption. More women than
men held this view.
The survey further indicates that
an overwhelming majority of the
people in these towns wants the
government family planning pro-
gramme to be revamped com-
pletely with a strong element of
educlUion, incentives and disincen-
tives.
More people have advocated in-
centives than disincentives.
The centres taken for the survey
include 12 state capitals. The
sample comprises 2,100 adults of
21 years and above, 47 per cent of
them women.
The survey was carried out imme-
diately after the family planning
fortnight observed by the country
in September 1'987.
As many as 61 per cent of the
respondents consider population
growth as the most pressing pro-
blem facing the country today when
compared to illiteracy, communal
ten!:>ion and corruption.
Everyfourth urban adult feels that
the family planning programme
needs to be made more effective
to attack the population problem.
One out of every five feels that
education holds the key to popula-
tion control.
About an equal number wants
disincentives to be introduced.
-